Pre-tourney Rankings
America East
2011-12


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
139 Vermont 100.0%   16   23 - 11 13 - 3 23 - 11 13 - 3 +2.2      +0.3 161 +1.9 119 62.2 282 +1.1 153 +2.4 2
158 Stony Brook 0.0%   21 - 9 14 - 2 21 - 9 14 - 2 +0.7      +0.1 168 +0.6 149 60.0 314 +1.1 154 +5.7 1
191 Boston University 0.0%   16 - 16 12 - 4 16 - 16 12 - 4 -1.6      -2.3 234 +0.7 146 64.6 247 -2.0 198 +0.8 3
202 Albany 0.0%   19 - 14 9 - 7 19 - 14 9 - 7 -2.0      +3.9 72 -5.9 316 67.0 183 -3.1 215 -5.2 4
282 Maine 0.0%   11 - 17 6 - 10 11 - 17 6 - 10 -7.0      -4.6 285 -2.4 248 70.2 105 -7.7 283 -10.2 7
295 New Hampshire 0.0%   12 - 16 7 - 9 12 - 16 7 - 9 -8.3      -8.4 328 +0.1 169 66.2 203 -7.7 285 -7.9 6
304 Hartford 0.0%   9 - 22 7 - 9 9 - 22 7 - 9 -9.6      -7.2 313 -2.4 249 66.3 202 -10.1 303 -7.7 5
340 Maryland Baltimore Co. 0.0%   4 - 26 3 - 13 4 - 26 3 - 13 -16.5      -8.2 325 -8.3 336 74.1 38 -16.9 332 -15.2 8
341 Binghamton 0.0%   2 - 29 1 - 15 2 - 29 1 - 15 -17.1      -10.7 339 -6.4 322 66.4 197 -22.3 344 -22.8 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 2.0 100.0
Stony Brook 1.0 100.0
Boston University 3.0 100.0
Albany 4.0 100.0
Maine 7.0 100.0
New Hampshire 5.0 100.0
Hartford 5.0 100.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 8.0 100.0
Binghamton 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 13 - 3 100.0
Stony Brook 14 - 2 100.0
Boston University 12 - 4 100.0
Albany 9 - 7 100.0
Maine 6 - 10 100.0
New Hampshire 7 - 9 100.0
Hartford 7 - 9 100.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 3 - 13 100.0
Binghamton 1 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont
Stony Brook 100.0% 100.0
Boston University
Albany
Maine
New Hampshire
Hartford
Maryland Baltimore Co.
Binghamton


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   3.2 96.8
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Albany 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Maine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hartford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Binghamton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 100.0% 83.8% 61.7% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hartford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 61.7% 0.6 38.3 61.7
2nd Round 3.0% 0.0 97.0 3.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0